Tomas Pueyo
1 min readApr 25, 2020

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[RESPONSE] Thanks a lot. Interesting points! Addressing each:

  • The first deaths do appear on March 21st, but the average delay is 3w, so these people were infected at the beginning of March. Not sure it matters. The death toll will increase in the next few weeks, although hopefully you’re right that they’re all young and the fatality rate is likely to remain among the world’s lowest.
  • You say masks don’t matter, but it looks like an opinion. The Singapore government now disagrees. And if immigrant workers had worn them, they would have not spread the virus as much.
  • I didn’t mean to say that the caseload was from imported cases, but rather that the caused the outbreak through later community contagion. This is accurate.
  • The quarantine for all travelers only starts on March 21st. At that point around half of the international seedings had already arrived.
  • Non-immigration-related cases are flat

All in all, I think these are details. From what you say, I think we agree in the larger picture: Singapore did an amazing job, and there were a few flaws, but it’s doing great at correcting them and hopefully will be back on track soon. My goal is not to disparage the country—amazing work—but rather to learn from the few mistakes.

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Tomas Pueyo
Tomas Pueyo

Written by Tomas Pueyo

2 MSc in Engineering. Stanford MBA. Ex-Consultant. Creator of applications with >20M users. Currently leading a billion-dollar business @ Course Hero

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